The theory that would not die: how Bayes' rule cracked the enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, & emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy

Enlightenment and the anti-Bayesian reaction. Causes in the air ; The man who did everything ; Many doubts, few defenders

Second World War era. Bayes goes to war ; Dead and buried again

The glorious revival. Arthur Bailey ; From tool to theology ; Jerome Cornfield, lung cancer, and heart attacks ; There's always a first time ; 46,656 varieties

To prove its worth. Business decisions ; Who wrote The Federalist? The cold warrior ; Three Mile Island ; The Navy searches

Victory. Eureka! ; Rosetta stones

Appendixes. Dr. Fisher's casebook ; Applying Baye's Rule to mammograms and breast cancer.

pt. 1. Enlightenment and the Anti-Bayesian reaction

pt. 2. Second World War era

pt. 3. The glorious revival

pt. 4. To prove its worth

pt. 5. Victory 211.